Category: Concepts
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On 22 Jun 2021, Canada’s Interprovincial Lottery Corporation awarded its largest ever Lotto Max prize pool in the amount of $140 million ($70 million for the grand prize and 70 $1 million MaxMillion prizes). It thus seems timely to have a look at the math behind lotteries. The website states that the odds of winning…
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There is something to be said about card counting in Baccarat. The immense number of permutations often makes it difficult to card count in this game without some form of assistance. The fact that different card values have different effects on probability in this game and that these effects are not always consistent, is another…
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Hi friends, This topic follows the study on the most beneficial cards to the Player, Banker and Tie wagers in Baccarat. The 3 tables below show the effect on the probabilities of the Player, Banker and Tie as 1, 2 and 3 cards are removed in isolation from each card value. Do take note of…
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Friends, The following 3 tables show the most beneficial cards for each wager. This was calculated by observing the number of times the presence of cards of these values led to a Player, Banker or Tie result. They are sorted in descending order of effect by card value. Some of the results are intuitive, others…
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All right folks. First off, please understand that having a 1st-card advantage means that the player has somehow found out what the first card of the as-yet undealed coup is. This is at worst cheating or at best, if the dealer or procedures are weak, advantage play. 1st-card advantage is essentially a study of all…
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In simulating different conditions of a Baccarat shoe, the following instances were observed: Wager refers to the wager type studied – Pairs, Wins on Natural 9s (WN9) and Wins on Natural 8s (WN8). Win % Probability indicates the percentage probability of that result occurring. Expectation, based on 11:1 for Pairs and 8:1 for Wins on…
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Why does a Banker win on 6 pay half? If you have ever wondered about this, you are not alone. This table shows the Probability and House Edge for Baccarat (where Banker wins pay 0.95:1). Notice the House Edge on Banker (in bold): Wager Permutations Probability Break-Even House Edge Player 2,230,518,282,592,260 0.4462466093 …
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In the past months, I have had ample time to sample some of the many forms of video games. Most games feature some form of simulation of real life, from racing to squad combat. AND for some of us, we spend way too much time in these environments. The real reason, which we may not…
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Theoretical win and the standard deviations of expected value have been widely covered in numerous articles. Unfortunately for me, the discussion on the topic has seldom been comprehensive enough to be understood by the layperson (meaning me). This post attempts to explain the issue in the simplest possible way. Why is this important? Theoretical win…
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The Logic of the Losing Shoe For those in the casino industry, especially for us surveillance folks, the words ‘losing shoe’ are all too familiar. A losing shoe is a period of play, normally lasting the length of one shoe of cards (which may be from one to as many decks as the shoe can…
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